Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000702 0.000799 0.000900 0.001016 0.001143 0.001278 0.001433
2025-08-24 0.000538 0.000668 0.000816 0.000995 0.001203 0.001437 0.001719
2025-08-31 0.000441 0.000584 0.000753 0.000965 0.001223 0.001523 0.001896
2025-09-07 0.000380 0.000532 0.000719 0.000962 0.001268 0.001634 0.002102
2025-09-14 0.000334 0.000491 0.000691 0.000961 0.001309 0.001737 0.002296
2025-09-21 0.000292 0.000450 0.000659 0.000950 0.001334 0.001817 0.002461
2025-09-28 0.000255 0.000411 0.000626 0.000932 0.001347 0.001880 0.002603
2025-10-05 0.000236 0.000398 0.000624 0.000956 0.001414 0.002013 0.002838
2025-10-12 0.000219 0.000383 0.000619 0.000973 0.001472 0.002134 0.003059
2025-10-19 0.000196 0.000357 0.000597 0.000965 0.001493 0.002205 0.003214
2025-10-26 0.000175 0.000333 0.000575 0.000953 0.001508 0.002268 0.003358
2025-11-02 0.000162 0.000320 0.000568 0.000963 0.001553 0.002371 0.003559
2025-11-09 0.000147 0.000303 0.000553 0.000962 0.001582 0.002454 0.003737
2025-11-16 0.000128 0.000276 0.000523 0.000934 0.001569 0.002479 0.003833
2025-11-23 0.000112 0.000253 0.000495 0.000908 0.001559 0.002504 0.003929
2025-11-30 0.000102 0.000239 0.000482 0.000904 0.001581 0.002577 0.004095
2025-12-07 0.000093 0.000227 0.000471 0.000903 0.001607 0.002655 0.004268
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000213 0.000454 0.000893 0.001617 0.002708 0.004405
2025-12-21 0.000074 0.000198 0.000435 0.000876 0.001615 0.002744 0.004518
2025-12-28 0.000071 0.000195 0.000439 0.000898 0.001678 0.002879 0.004779
2026-01-04 0.000067 0.000191 0.000440 0.000915 0.001732 0.003000 0.005021
2026-01-11 0.000061 0.000181 0.000427 0.000907 0.001743 0.003057 0.005168
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000170 0.000413 0.000896 0.001750 0.003106 0.005304